Guinea Pick of the Week
November 15th, 2009
Last week I predicted the Texans (9.5) to win outright over the Colts. The final score was Colts 20 Texans 17. I was half right.
This week’s match-up: St. Louis Rams (13.5) vs. New Orleans Saints
I like the Saints to not only win, but to cover the spread with ease. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Saints score 100 points. Seriously though this game has the makings of an old fashioned butt whoopin. The Saints march into St. Louis with the number 1 rated offense in the league. We all know they can pass, number 5 this year, as last year Drew Brees had a season that was only matched by the Dan Marino, but the Saints have found a ground game as well. The rushing attack is number 2 in the NFL with HBs Pierre Thomas and Mike Bell heading the both with just under 500 yards each. Reggie Bush even has 4 rushing TDs and a 4.0 yards per rush average. And when you match their potent rushing against the St. Louis 28th ranked rush defense you have the makings of a long day.
The Rams run the ball very well too, with Steven Jackson leading the way with 784 total rushing yards and a 4.8 yard per rush average giving the Rams the 9th best ground attack in the league. Unfortunately, the Saints boast the 1 ranked rushing defense and when you couple that with the Rams worst passing game in the league, the Rams are in for a long day.
The Rams are playing at home and are being given 13.5 points and you may think that they could at least win with the spread, but I think the Saints will have little problem covering. The Rams have scored a total of 77 points all year giving the an average of 9.6 points per game. On the other hand, the Saints have scored 303 points for an average of 37.9 points per game. Need I say more.
Final Score: Saints 48 Rams 6
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